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I have a Substack

I have a Substack. Nothing you won’t find here or elsewhere, but available for those who like the medium.

posted on 15 August 2019 by skirchner in Economics, Financial Markets

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Currency wars lack real weapons

I have a piece in the USSC’s 45th on why so-called ‘currency wars’ are lacking in effective weapons.

Full text below the fold.

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posted on 14 August 2019 by skirchner in

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Beware of romanticising the legacies of Bretton Woods

I have an op-ed in today’s AFR marking the 75th anniversary of Bretton Woods. I argue that the nostalgia for Bretton Woods is misplaced and we should instead celebrate the 1969 Oyster Bay and Burgenstock conferences that laid the intellectual groundwork for floating exchange rates.

Text below the fold.

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posted on 26 July 2019 by skirchner in

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Lessons from quantitative easing in the United States: A guide for Australian policymakers

I have a new report out with the United States Studies Centre on Lessons from Quantitative Easing in the United States: A Guide for Australian Policymakers. It argues that the RBA could implement a smaller but more effective program of asset purchases by learning from the US Fed’s missteps.

There is a write up by John Kehoe in the AFR. There is also an op-ed version in The Conversation.

In this piece in The Mandarin, I explain why Tim Wilson MP and others are mistaken in their criticisms of QE. Opposing QE when it is needed will lead to more of the interventions Tim otherwise opposes.

Bloomberg’s Michael Heath also quotes from my report.

posted on 18 June 2019 by skirchner in Economics, Monetary Policy

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US Fed Shows the RBA is Not About to ‘Run out of Ammunition’

I have a piece in the USSC’s 45th on how the Federal Reserve shows that the RBA cannot ‘run out of ammunition’ and why the RBA is singularly responsible for managing aggregate demand.

posted on 06 June 2019 by skirchner in Monetary Policy

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New government should put Phil Lowe on the hook for inflation

I have an article in The Mandarin on why the next government should re-negotiate the current agreement between the Treasurer and Reserve Bank Governor on the conduct of monetary policy.

posted on 09 May 2019 by skirchner in Monetary Policy

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Why a US-China deal won’t end the trade war

With the US-China trade talks on the brink of collapse, I have an op-ed in the AFR on why a trade deal won’t resolve uncertainty over tariffs

posted on 09 May 2019 by skirchner in Free Trade & Protectionism

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State of Confusion: Economic Policy Uncertainty and International Trade and Investment

I have an article in the latest Australian Economic Review, State of Confusion: Economic Policy Uncertainty and International Trade and Investment.

The article quantifies the effect of global economic policy uncertainty on global industrial production and trade volumes. It also quantifies the effect of Australian and US economic policy uncertainty on cross-border trade and investment.

posted on 27 March 2019 by skirchner in Economics, Foreign Investment

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Unbroken: Productivity and Worker Compensation in Australia and the United States

I have a new report out with the United States Studies Centre at the University of Sydney, Unbroken: Productivity and Worker Compensation in Australia and the United States.

There is a fairly good write-up in today’s AFR. There is more media coverage here and here.

posted on 20 March 2019 by skirchner in Economics

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The Capital Share and Housing

I have an op-ed in the AFR noting that the rise in the capital share of income in the US, other G7 economies and Australia, is largely attributable to an increased scarcity of housing driven by regulation.

posted on 27 February 2019 by skirchner in Economics, House Prices

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Australia’s G20 plans died in Buenos Aires

I have an article in Medium on the demise of Australia’s Brisbane Action Plan at the G20 leaders’ meeting in Buenos Aires.

posted on 06 December 2018 by skirchner in

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An open door: How globalised are the Australian and US economies?

I have a new report out with the United States Studies Centre, An open door: How globalised are the Australian and US economies?

There is an essay length version in The Australian Financial Review.

There is also a write-up of the report by David Uren in The Australian.

posted on 14 November 2018 by skirchner in

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Questions over RBA chief Philip Lowe road to inflation target

Ahead of this week’s CPI release, David Uren quotes me and Nic Gruen on the costs of trading off the inflation target against financial stability concerns.

posted on 29 October 2018 by skirchner in Monetary Policy

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US bond bears are right, but for all the wrong reasons

My piece for Business Insider on why rising US real interest rates are a good news story, have little to do with the Fed, and help explain the Australian yield curve’s record inversion to the US.

posted on 12 October 2018 by skirchner in Financial Markets

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Money too tight to mention: The Reserve Bank of Australia’s financial stability mandate and low inflation

I have a new publication in the journal Economic Analysis and Policy on the evolution of the RBA’s financial stability mandate and its relationship to the inflation target. Copyright restrictions prevent posting full text online, but DM if interested.

Nic Gruen has a similar take here.

posted on 12 October 2018 by skirchner in Monetary Policy

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